Peak Oil will soon generate problems for individuals and families around the globe: unemployment; bankruptcy; inability to pay for heating oil, higher education, mortgage, and rent etc; the need for family members to share residences and expenses; violent street crime even in previously safe neighborhoods; the separation of family members (due to high airfares, the high cost of gasoline or gasoline rationing); and anxiety and depression.
Families that have a common understanding of Peak Oil problems can provide mutual support and group problem-solving, and they are more likely enjoy life and survive the Peak Oil catastrophe. Young people who understand Peak Oil are more likely to learn about what makes sense for the future. Informed people who are unemployed can work collectively for their future and use their resources for contingency planning, instead of looking to panaceas and technological fixes.
Educating family, loved ones, and friends about Peak Oil and its impacts is a formidable challenge. Most people believe strongly that a national commitment and technology will solve energy problems and yield a stable economy. Deep denial concerning Peak Oil is pervasive at all levels of society. Frustration in educating family members about Peak Oil is common, as revealed on the Peak Oil Blues http://www.peakoilblues.com/website.
It helps to remember that people avoid the reality of Peak Oil from weakness, not strength. Peak Oil is personally frightening and many fear for family and friends. Educating about Peak Oil is the right thing to do, so be patient. It sometimes takes weeks, months, or years to get through to people. Learn from the experiences of others on the Peak Oil Blues http://www.peakoilblues.com/ website. Here are some ideas to consider in educating family, love ones, and friends.
Studies by major independent government agencies and scientific organizations are the most credible sources for convincing many people that Peak Oil is real and will have serious impacts soon. I wrote a 48 page Peak Oil Impacts Report http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html based on such sources, and the sources can be referenced directly from the report (which can be downloaded, website posted, distributed, and emailed). It is hard to deny studies by the National Academy of Sciences, U.S. General Accountability Office, U.S, Congressional Research Service, and major scientific institutions. Many governments have sponsored Peak Oil studies. Use these authority symbols to your advantage.
You can tell your family or friends that Peak Oil is a serious issue that you personally need to discuss with them, and that you want them to read the report for factual information in order to have a well-informed conversation.
The report was written by a recently retired professor of Political Science at the University of New Hampshire, where he was director of the Master of Public Administration program for many years. In that capacity he worked with hundreds of local, state, and federal officials on government planning. Based on this report, he gave a Peak Oil presentation to the New Hampshire Town Managers Association last January and a variety of audiences in Albany, NY in June.
If the report is too long or complex, start off with some articles in newspapers or magazines that you can print and ask them to read and discuss, for example:
Fortune Magazine
http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/15/news/economy/500dollaroil_okeefe.fortune…
BusinessWeek
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_26/b4040074.htm?campaign…
The Times (London)
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_…
The Wall Street Journal
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121432276099000211.html?mod=2_1586_middl…
MoneyWeek
http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/commodities/why-we-must-take-peak-o…
Scientific American
http://www.aspo-usa.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=324&It…
Wikipedia Encyclopedia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
If they read short convincing articles, you may then convince them to read the 48 page report. You can also ask them to read the first page summary of the report and the summaries of the report by the U.S. General Accountability Office http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d07283.pdf which is covered in my report.
Also convincing are the following websites: U.S. Representative Roscoe Bartlett, http://www.bartlett.house.gov/ who is a respected conservative Republican Member of Congress; Simmons and Company International http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/ (see his speeches) http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research.aspx?Type=msspeeches, Jim Kingsdale http://www.energyinvestmentstrategies.com/ , Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas – USA http://www.aspo-usa.com/ and Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas – Ireland http://www.aspo-ireland.org/ (see the Newsletter) http://www.aspo-ireland.org/index.cfm/page/newsletter .
The September 2008 ASPO-USA Peak Oil Conference includes a very credible group of speakers http://www.aspo-usa.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=401&It…, including Neil King Jr., the international energy reporter for “The Wall Street Journal.”
An Internet search of the term “peakoil” yields some 4,400,000 hits.
“Energy Bulletin” http://www.energybulletin.net/ provides much scientific information and a Peak Oil primer.
The “Transition Movement” http://transitionculture.org/ and Portland (Oregon) Peak Oil Task http://www.portlandonline.com/osd/index.cfm?c=42894 (and other cities’ efforts) show that many towns and cities are planning to prepare for Peak Oil.
There are many videos on Peak Oil on Google or Yahoo.
http://video.google.com/videosearch?q=peak+oil&hl=en&emb=0&aq=f#
http://video.search.yahoo.com/search/video?p=peak+oil&vc=&fr=yfp-t-501&t…
If anyone asks why more people don’t know about Peak Oil, the following explains the conspiracy of silence. Both private and national oil company executives and their allies in business and government have lied to the media and public about oil reserves in order to create an image of corporate financial growth. This has increased their salaries, stock investments, stock options for retirement, and consulting fees to produce phony research. The media and government officials have believed the lies and have conveniently avoided giving the public bad news about future. And most leaders and people across the globe believe that there must a new energy source for continued prosperity and economic development, so why worry about Peak Oil?
Patience is a virtue. It takes time for people to think about how vital oil is for the economy and what life will be like without oil in the future. Patience — even many who are aware of Peak Oil are in denial about the future. They accept Peak Oil, but not its impacts. Patience — belief systems that were developed over a lifetime are difficult to change. Patience.
In the comments option [at the original article], please offer additional ideas for educating family, loved ones, and friends about Peak Oil.
Cliff Wirth is a policy analyst who writes and speaks about Peak Oil impacts, alternatives, survival, preparations, and relocation. He holds a Ph.D. in Policy Analysis and a Master’s degree in Public Administration and taught policy analysis, energy policy, public administration, global urban politics, and Mexican politics at the University of New Hampshire for 27 years.
